Avanca vs Salgueiros 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
56.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
GDP
1 - 1
AVA
20%
22%
58%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
AVA
2 - 0
AGU
56%
22%
23%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
GRI
3 - 1
AVA
63%
20%
17%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
AVA
3 - 2
PEN
40%
24%
36%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 2
AVA
76%
16%
8%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Salgueiros 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SAL
2 - 0
OLI
82%
12%
6%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
EST
0 - 3
SAL
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
OLI
0 - 3
SAL
34%
24%
42%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
SAL
4 - 1
GDP
83%
12%
5%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 0
SAL
15%
21%
64%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | -1 |