Botafogo ASF vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
65.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+140%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo ASF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
AFP
1 - 0
ABS
79%
13%
8%
|
11 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
DOR
1 - 2
ABS
77%
14%
9%
|
9 | 39 | 30 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ABS
1 - 3
BOC
11%
17%
72%
|
10 | 35 | 25 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
LAG
1 - 2
ABS
74%
16%
10%
|
8 | 33 | 25 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
ABS
1 - 3
EST
9%
15%
75%
|
9 | 35 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 0
BOC
62%
23%
15%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
ITA
2 - 4
GOI
7%
16%
78%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
CSA
1 - 2
ITA
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 0
SER
38%
27%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ABC
3 - 0
ITA
74%
17%
9%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |