Botafogo ASF vs Frei Paulistano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
68.7%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+107%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo ASF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
EST
1 - 1
ABS
70%
17%
13%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ABS
1 - 0
SDJ
16%
17%
67%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BOC
0 - 0
ABS
72%
17%
12%
|
7 | 27 | 20 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
SDJ
4 - 3
ABS
77%
15%
9%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ABS
1 - 4
OSE
13%
18%
69%
|
8 | 27 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
AFP
0 - 1
EST
44%
26%
31%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
SDJ
0 - 0
AFP
18%
19%
63%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
AFP
2 - 1
BOC
41%
26%
33%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
AFP
0 - 1
DOR
33%
25%
43%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 0
AFP
33%
24%
43%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |