Avaí vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
TUP
1 - 1
AVA
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
AVA
1 - 1
ATL
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
GOI
2 - 0
AVA
59%
25%
16%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
PAY
1 - 0
AVA
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
AVA
0 - 1
JEC
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
GOI
24%
27%
49%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 3
CRI
38%
29%
33%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
OES
1 - 3
VIL
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
SAM
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
LON
1 - 0
VIL
37%
29%
34%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |