Avaí vs Almirante Barroso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
4.4%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
FFL
0 - 0
AVA
40%
27%
34%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BRU
2 - 3
AVA
20%
25%
56%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
AVA
1 - 0
JEC
60%
23%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 0
AVA
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
AVA
3 - 2
TUB
77%
16%
7%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Almirante Barroso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
LIT
2 - 1
BRU
15%
18%
66%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
LIT
1 - 3
CRI
11%
17%
72%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
MET
1 - 0
LIT
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
FFL
1 - 0
LIT
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
LIT
2 - 3
CHA
6%
14%
80%
|
46 | 79 | 33 | 0 |