Avaí vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
50.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 2
AVA
75%
17%
8%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
AVA
0 - 3
FLU
22%
26%
52%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
VAS
1 - 0
AVA
63%
23%
14%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2017 |
ATL
3 - 1
AVA
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
AVA
1 - 1
FLA
19%
27%
54%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
PPE
1 - 0
AME
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
PPE
1 - 2
PAL
30%
25%
45%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2017 |
PPE
1 - 0
CRZ
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 0
PPE
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2017 |
FLA
2 - 0
PPE
61%
22%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |