Avaí vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
62.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2022 |
FLU
2 - 0
AVA
69%
20%
11%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
AVA
3 - 2
FOR
23%
27%
49%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 1
AVA
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
ATL
2 - 1
AVA
67%
22%
12%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 1
SAO
15%
23%
63%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
PAL
35%
28%
38%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 2
PAL
38%
27%
35%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
PAL
4 - 2
ATL
69%
19%
12%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
COT
0 - 2
PAL
18%
25%
57%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
PAL
4 - 0
BOT
74%
17%
9%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |