Avaí vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
28.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
OES
0 - 0
AVA
30%
29%
42%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
AVA
1 - 0
PAR
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
VAS
0 - 0
AVA
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 2
AVA
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
AVA
1 - 0
TUP
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
NAU
1 - 0
GOI
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CRB
1 - 0
NAU
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
NAU
2 - 1
ATL
49%
26%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
LUV
2 - 1
NAU
40%
28%
33%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
NAU
1 - 0
CEA
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |