Avaí vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 2
AVA
64%
21%
16%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
AVA
1 - 0
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
COR
0 - 0
AVA
63%
22%
16%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2009 |
AVA
4 - 0
VIT
42%
26%
31%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
ATP
1 - 3
AVA
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
NAU
2 - 1
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
NAU
1 - 0
COR
28%
26%
45%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 1
NAU
69%
19%
13%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
NAU
1 - 2
SAN
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
SPO
3 - 3
NAU
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |