Avaí vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
ANA
2 - 0
AVA
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2005 |
AVA
2 - 0
ITU
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2005 |
AVA
1 - 0
UNI
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
SAN
2 - 1
AVA
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2005 |
AVA
1 - 1
POR
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
NAU
2 - 1
MAR
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2005 |
GAM
1 - 0
NAU
40%
25%
35%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
NAU
4 - 0
BAH
57%
23%
21%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
REC
4 - 0
NAU
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2005 |
SPO
3 - 2
NAU
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |