Avaí vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
AVA
1 - 1
VIL
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
ITU
5 - 0
AVA
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2004 |
AVA
1 - 0
FOR
33%
28%
40%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2004 |
AME
1 - 0
AVA
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
AVA
2 - 2
AMF
56%
24%
21%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
NAU
2 - 1
JEC
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
REM
3 - 2
NAU
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
NAU
3 - 0
VIL
65%
20%
16%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
BAH
3 - 1
NAU
63%
20%
17%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
NAU
3 - 1
SPO
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |