Avaí vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
27.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 2
AVA
45%
27%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
AVA
0 - 3
BAH
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
BRA
3 - 0
AVA
38%
29%
33%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
AVA
1 - 0
LON
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
NAU
3 - 1
AVA
57%
24%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
LUV
4 - 0
BRA
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
JEC
1 - 1
LUV
42%
30%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
LUV
0 - 0
CRB
43%
27%
31%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
GOI
1 - 1
LUV
59%
25%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
BAH
1 - 0
LUV
54%
27%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |