Avaí vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
24.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
COT
2 - 3
AVA
72%
18%
11%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1977 |
AVA
0 - 1
DBO
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
CAX
5 - 1
AVA
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
AVA
0 - 0
SCI
20%
23%
57%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1977 |
AVA
2 - 0
COT
25%
25%
50%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
JUV
1 - 1
CAX
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1977 |
JUV
3 - 0
COT
27%
25%
48%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 1977 |
JUV
1 - 0
MAR
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
JEC
1 - 0
JUV
50%
26%
25%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1977 |
JUV
0 - 1
SCI
21%
23%
56%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | -1 |