Avaí vs Hercílio Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
16%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
8.1%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
FFL
4 - 1
AVA
28%
27%
45%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
URT
1 - 1
AVA
10%
22%
67%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
AVA
2 - 1
CAC
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 0
AVA
15%
23%
62%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
AVA
0 - 0
JEC
78%
16%
7%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
HER
3 - 0
CHA
16%
24%
60%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
HER
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
HER
34%
28%
38%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
HER
1 - 0
CAM
47%
26%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
CAC
0 - 0
HER
42%
27%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |