Avaí vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
42.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
COR
1 - 1
AVA
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
AVA
1 - 0
PPE
30%
28%
43%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FLU
3 - 1
AVA
70%
18%
11%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2015 |
AVA
2 - 1
JEC
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ATP
2 - 1
AVA
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
JEC
0 - 2
GRE
24%
30%
46%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 1
ATM
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
SCI
1 - 0
GRE
48%
27%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 0
FLU
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 0
GRE
40%
29%
32%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |