Avaí vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
57.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 0
AVA
71%
20%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 2
BOT
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 2
ATL
27%
27%
46%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
SAO
4 - 0
AVA
72%
18%
9%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 0
ATM
13%
23%
64%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FLU
0 - 2
AMF
65%
21%
14%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
ATL
3 - 2
FLU
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ATM
2 - 0
FLU
57%
23%
21%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
FLU
4 - 0
JUV
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 2
FLU
57%
23%
20%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |