Avaí vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
52%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
VAS
1 - 0
AVA
63%
23%
14%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2017 |
ATL
3 - 1
AVA
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
AVA
1 - 1
FLA
19%
27%
54%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2017 |
ATM
1 - 0
AVA
83%
12%
5%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
AVA
1 - 0
SPO
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
FLU
2 - 2
FLA
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2017 |
FLU
0 - 2
GRE
36%
25%
39%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
PAL
3 - 1
FLU
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
FLU
1 - 1
ATP
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
FLU
2 - 1
VIT
63%
22%
16%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |