Avaí vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
71.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
CEA
1 - 0
AVA
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 0
SAN
26%
28%
46%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
BRA
4 - 0
AVA
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 2
CUI
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
AVA
2 - 2
PAL
14%
24%
62%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
FLA
4 - 0
JUV
80%
14%
6%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
FLA
2 - 0
COT
76%
16%
9%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
FLA
2 - 0
ATM
48%
24%
27%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
COR
1 - 0
FLA
22%
23%
54%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
FLA
7 - 1
TOL
78%
14%
7%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |