Avaí vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
38%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
AVA
3 - 3
BRU
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
SCI
3 - 0
AVA
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
JEC
0 - 2
AVA
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
AVA
1 - 2
CHA
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 1
AVA
13%
20%
68%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
FFL
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
FFL
1 - 2
INT
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
FFL
0 - 2
CRI
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 2
FFL
13%
20%
67%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
FFL
2 - 1
ATM
25%
26%
49%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |