Avaí vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
46.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 2
AVA
14%
20%
66%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 4
AVA
23%
24%
53%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
AVA
1 - 2
MET
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
AVA
0 - 1
CHA
30%
27%
44%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
HER
1 - 0
AVA
20%
23%
57%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
JEC
1 - 0
FFL
39%
26%
36%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
FFL
1 - 0
CRI
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 1
FFL
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 2
FFL
10%
20%
70%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
FFL
2 - 1
INT
84%
11%
5%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |