Avaí vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
32.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
JEC
3 - 0
AVA
35%
24%
41%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
AVA
2 - 0
GUA
78%
15%
8%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 3
AVA
12%
19%
70%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
AVA
2 - 2
CRI
60%
21%
18%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
AVA
2 - 0
CHA
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
FFL
1 - 1
HER
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
CAM
2 - 3
FFL
12%
18%
70%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
FFL
4 - 1
MET
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 0
FFL
39%
25%
37%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
JEC
1 - 1
FFL
35%
24%
41%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |