Avaí vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 1
AVA
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
AVA
3 - 0
BRA
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
PAY
0 - 2
AVA
26%
26%
48%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
AVA
1 - 2
CHA
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
AVA
1 - 0
SPO
54%
24%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
ICA
1 - 0
FFL
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 1
FFL
52%
25%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
FFL
0 - 1
JEC
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
FFL
3 - 2
PAY
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 2
FFL
28%
26%
45%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |