Avaí vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
16%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
13.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 1
AVA
35%
29%
37%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
AVA
0 - 0
ATL
52%
25%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
LON
1 - 2
AVA
40%
29%
32%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
AVA
0 - 1
GOI
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2018 |
OES
1 - 0
AVA
31%
30%
40%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
ATL
2 - 2
CSA
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
CSA
0 - 0
FOR
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
CSA
1 - 0
SAM
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
BRA
0 - 2
CSA
48%
29%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2018 |
CSA
2 - 2
COT
28%
28%
44%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |