Avaí vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
44.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
SAN
2 - 2
AVA
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
AVA
1 - 1
POR
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2007 |
AVA
1 - 1
SAO
26%
27%
47%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
PAU
0 - 1
AVA
64%
21%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2007 |
AVA
1 - 0
GAM
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
COT
2 - 2
VIT
53%
25%
23%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
PPE
1 - 1
COT
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
GRÊ
0 - 1
COT
29%
27%
44%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
COT
2 - 1
SAN
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
COT
1 - 0
CRI
58%
24%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |