Avaí vs Concórdia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.5%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
6.4%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 2
AVA
6%
15%
79%
|
73 | 30 | 43 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
AVA
1 - 1
BRU
63%
21%
15%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
BAR
4 - 3
AVA
8%
19%
73%
|
74 | 47 | 27 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AVA
4 - 0
FFL
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
HER
1 - 0
AVA
15%
22%
63%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 0
HER
37%
28%
35%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CAC
3 - 0
CAC
73%
18%
9%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
BRU
0 - 0
CAC
66%
21%
14%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CAC
2 - 2
CHA
15%
24%
61%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 1
CAC
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |