Avaí vs Concórdia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
8.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 0
AVA
15%
23%
62%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
AVA
0 - 0
JEC
78%
16%
7%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
BRU
1 - 0
AVA
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
AVA
0 - 1
ECP
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 44 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
JUV
0 - 0
AVA
10%
21%
69%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
CAC
0 - 1
CHA
15%
24%
62%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 2
CAC
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
CAC
0 - 0
HER
42%
27%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CAM
3 - 1
CAC
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 1
CAC
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |