Avaí vs Concórdia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.6%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
AVA
3 - 3
FFL
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
HER
0 - 1
AVA
10%
19%
71%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
AVA
2 - 1
JEC
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
INT
1 - 0
AVA
12%
20%
68%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
AVA
74%
18%
8%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
BRU
4 - 2
CAC
42%
24%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
CAC
3 - 2
TUB
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CRI
2 - 0
CAC
75%
15%
10%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
CAC
0 - 1
CHA
9%
18%
73%
|
50 | 80 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CAC
0 - 0
HER
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |