Avaí vs Caxias Joinville FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
36.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
MAR
2 - 0
AVA
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
DBO
1 - 3
AVA
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
AVA
1 - 0
DES
51%
24%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 1976 |
AVA
0 - 0
CAX
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
AVA
1 - 0
FFL
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias Joinville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
CAX
0 - 0
COT
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
CAX
1 - 0
PPE
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 1976 |
PAL
0 - 0
CAX
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1976 |
POR
3 - 4
CAX
61%
20%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1976 |
CAX
3 - 0
COT
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |