Avaí vs Camboriú FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.4%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
5.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
BRU
0 - 1
AVA
13%
20%
67%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
AVA
2 - 1
HER
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
AVA
3 - 2
CRI
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 0
AVA
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
AVA
1 - 1
FFL
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Camboriú FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
CAM
1 - 2
CRI
23%
23%
54%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 1
CAM
76%
16%
9%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 1
MET
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
JEC
0 - 1
CAM
76%
15%
9%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
HER
2 - 2
CAM
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |