Avaí vs Brusque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
9.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
AVA
3 - 1
MAR
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 0
AVA
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
AVA
0 - 0
ATP
16%
27%
57%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
FLA
6 - 1
AVA
89%
9%
3%
|
67 | 90 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
AVA
1 - 1
FLU
21%
26%
53%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
BRU
5 - 4
JEC
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
BRU
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 2
BRU
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
BRU
2 - 2
MAN
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
BRU
2 - 0
ITU
32%
28%
40%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |