Avaí vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2002 |
AVA
1 - 0
LON
39%
27%
35%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2002 |
AME
2 - 2
AVA
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2002 |
SPO
2 - 0
AVA
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2002 |
AVA
2 - 0
XVD
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2002 |
AVA
2 - 1
JEC
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
BOT
1 - 1
CRB
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2002 |
SAO
1 - 0
BOT
16%
24%
61%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2002 |
BOT
2 - 2
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2002 |
AMF
4 - 1
BOT
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
VIL
2 - 0
BOT
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |