Avaí vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
41.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
FLU
1 - 0
AVA
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
AVA
1 - 2
VAS
32%
28%
40%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
AVA
0 - 2
ATL
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 1
AVA
75%
17%
8%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
AVA
1 - 1
ATM
21%
27%
52%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
VAS
1 - 0
BOT
36%
30%
34%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 1
CHA
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 3
VIT
61%
23%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
COT
2 - 3
BOT
33%
30%
37%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 0
BOT
57%
25%
18%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |