Avaí vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
8.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2008 |
PAR
0 - 1
AVA
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
AVA
1 - 1
CRI
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
CHA
0 - 6
AVA
27%
23%
50%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
AVA
3 - 0
BRU
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
FFL
0 - 2
AVA
76%
15%
9%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2008 |
ABC
3 - 2
VIL
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
ABC
2 - 2
POT
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2008 |
POT
2 - 2
ABC
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
ABC
1 - 0
MEC
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
BAR
0 - 0
ABC
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |