Auxerre vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
TRO
1 - 1
AUX
27%
28%
44%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
AUX
2 - 0
TFC
63%
22%
15%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
SOC
1 - 0
AUX
37%
29%
34%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
AUX
1 - 1
MET
68%
20%
12%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
AJA
1 - 0
AUX
25%
29%
47%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
NIC
0 - 0
LEN
36%
29%
35%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 0
NIC
55%
25%
20%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
NIC
2 - 0
MON
25%
28%
47%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2006 |
ASS
0 - 1
NIC
42%
29%
30%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
LMU
2 - 0
NIC
38%
29%
33%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |