Auxerre vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
40.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
USB
1 - 4
AUX
6%
13%
81%
|
61 | 7 | 54 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
AMI
0 - 0
AUX
47%
27%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
AUX
0 - 4
NIO
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
TFC
1 - 0
AUX
73%
18%
10%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
STR
2 - 1
AUX
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 3
LEN
3%
9%
88%
|
68 | 30 | 38 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 1
AJA
56%
26%
18%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
BRE
1 - 2
LEN
33%
29%
38%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 1
REI
33%
29%
39%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
SOC
1 - 0
LEN
37%
29%
35%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |