Auxerre vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
11.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
PSG
2 - 3
AUX
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2010 |
AJA
2 - 1
AUX
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
AUX
0 - 1
GIR
24%
26%
50%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
ARL
0 - 4
AUX
18%
28%
54%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
AUX
0 - 1
RMA
18%
24%
59%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
BAS
6 - 1
PLA
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
FCG
1 - 4
BAS
21%
27%
52%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
BAS
5 - 0
GAP
72%
18%
9%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
PFC
1 - 2
BAS
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
BAS
3 - 0
COL
74%
18%
8%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |