Auxerre U19 vs Metz U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
6º
5º
41
2º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
83% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 36 |
8º
|
64.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 32 |
10º
|
46.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 30 |
12º
|
35% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
STR
2 - 1
AUX
42%
27%
32%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
AUX
1 - 1
BOB
69%
17%
14%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
BES
1 - 1
AUX
19%
21%
60%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
DIJ
2 - 1
AUX
20%
26%
54%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
HOF
1 - 0
AUX
61%
20%
19%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Metz U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
MET
1 - 4
MUL
77%
13%
9%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
DIJ
2 - 1
MET
44%
25%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MET
1 - 1
PAR
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
AND
2 - 1
MET
33%
23%
44%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
MET
4 - 1
REI
40%
22%
38%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |