Auxerre II vs Olympique Lyonnais II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
8º
7º
32
7º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
70% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 41 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 39 |
10º
|
61.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
50.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
50.5% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 36 |
13º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SAI
1 - 2
AUX
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AUX
1 - 1
OLY
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CSL
1 - 1
AUX
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
AUX
0 - 2
GRA
38%
28%
34%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
THO
0 - 1
AUX
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 3
JUR
26%
23%
51%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AUB
2 - 2
OLY
38%
25%
38%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
OLY
0 - 3
LYO
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
SÈT
1 - 3
OLY
46%
26%
29%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
OLY
0 - 0
CRF
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |