Autol vs Yagüe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
66.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Autol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
OYO
1 - 0
AUT
40%
26%
34%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
AUT
2 - 1
CDS
63%
20%
17%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CEN
2 - 0
AUT
30%
25%
45%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
AUT
1 - 5
BER
25%
25%
50%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CAV
1 - 1
AUT
44%
24%
32%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Yagüe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
YAG
1 - 3
UDL
16%
19%
65%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CFC
0 - 5
YAG
34%
22%
45%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
YAG
0 - 0
OYO
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CDS
1 - 3
YAG
10%
16%
74%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
YAG
2 - 1
CEN
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |