Autol vs Yagüe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Autol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
RAP
4 - 0
AUT
41%
24%
35%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
AUT
2 - 1
ALD
80%
14%
6%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
CAS
3 - 1
AUT
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
AUT
2 - 0
CDS
70%
19%
12%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
OYO
1 - 0
AUT
53%
23%
24%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Yagüe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
YAG
0 - 0
TED
29%
23%
47%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
RAP
3 - 3
YAG
53%
22%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
YAG
4 - 1
ALD
75%
16%
10%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
CAS
6 - 2
YAG
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
YAG
1 - 0
CDS
51%
22%
27%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |