Autol vs Rapid de Murillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
25.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Autol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 0
AUT
31%
23%
46%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
AUT
3 - 0
REB
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
AUT
4 - 1
YAG
49%
23%
28%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
RAP
1 - 0
AUT
30%
23%
47%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
AUT
1 - 2
PRA
49%
22%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rapid de Murillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
RAP
1 - 1
AGO
27%
24%
49%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
RAP
48%
22%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 2
RAP
38%
22%
41%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
RAP
1 - 0
AUT
30%
23%
47%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
BAÑ
0 - 8
RAP
9%
15%
76%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | +1 |