Autol vs Rapid de Murillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
65.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Autol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ALD
2 - 0
AUT
26%
23%
51%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
AUT
1 - 2
CAS
32%
25%
43%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
HSC
1 - 2
AUT
31%
22%
47%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
AUT
0 - 3
UDL
10%
17%
74%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
AUT
0 - 1
CFC
46%
23%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Rapid de Murillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
RAP
2 - 0
UDL
25%
22%
54%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CFC
0 - 3
RAP
21%
21%
58%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
RAP
2 - 0
YAG
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
OYO
1 - 2
RAP
15%
21%
64%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
RAP
5 - 2
CDS
92%
6%
2%
|
24 | 7 | 17 | +1 |