Autol vs Rapid de Murillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
51.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Autol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CDS
1 - 3
AUT
13%
20%
68%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
SMC
3 - 1
AUT
56%
22%
22%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CEN
0 - 1
AUT
33%
25%
42%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
AUT
1 - 2
OYO
28%
27%
45%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
AUT
1 - 2
ALB
67%
19%
13%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Rapid de Murillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
RAP
2 - 0
BER
65%
19%
16%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
RAP
4 - 2
HSC
81%
12%
7%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CDS
0 - 1
RAP
10%
19%
71%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 1
RAP
20%
23%
57%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
RAP
1 - 1
OYO
51%
23%
26%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |