Autol vs Alfaro B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
26.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+385%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Autol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CFC
0 - 1
AUT
56%
21%
23%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
AUT
5 - 2
YAG
14%
19%
67%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
OYO
1 - 0
AUT
40%
26%
34%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
AUT
2 - 1
CDS
63%
20%
17%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CEN
2 - 0
AUT
30%
25%
45%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Alfaro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CFC
0 - 1
AUT
56%
21%
23%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
UDL
6 - 0
CFC
85%
11%
5%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CFC
0 - 5
YAG
34%
22%
45%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
OYO
1 - 2
CFC
27%
23%
50%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CFC
1 - 1
CDS
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |