Autol vs Alfaro B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
60.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1352%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Autol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ALB
4 - 0
AUT
79%
14%
7%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
AUT
1 - 3
CAV
62%
21%
18%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CAS
2 - 1
AUT
73%
16%
11%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
AUT
3 - 0
BAÑ
66%
20%
15%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
EDF
4 - 3
AUT
61%
20%
19%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Alfaro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CFC
4 - 2
BAÑ
85%
10%
5%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
EDF
0 - 3
CFC
33%
24%
42%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CFC
3 - 4
BAL
62%
20%
19%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CEN
0 - 0
CFC
34%
24%
42%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
CFC
5 - 0
CDS
52%
21%
27%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |