Autol vs Aldeano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Autol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CEN
0 - 1
AUT
20%
23%
57%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
AUT
3 - 1
CDS
86%
11%
4%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
AUT
5 - 2
ALB
28%
23%
50%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 1
AUT
57%
20%
23%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
AUT
4 - 0
MAR
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Aldeano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ALD
3 - 3
ALB
12%
16%
72%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
CDS
1 - 1
ALD
23%
20%
57%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 0
ALD
82%
12%
7%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
ALD
3 - 5
MAR
55%
19%
25%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CFC
1 - 3
ALD
58%
19%
22%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +2 |