Autol vs Aldeano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Autol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
TAT
2 - 1
AUT
50%
23%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
AUT
1 - 1
RAP
56%
23%
21%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
AUT
58%
21%
21%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
AUT
0 - 1
HAR
68%
19%
13%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
CDC
2 - 6
AUT
66%
19%
15%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aldeano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ALD
0 - 1
NAX
46%
23%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
YAG
3 - 1
ALD
73%
16%
11%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ALD
1 - 1
OYO
45%
24%
32%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 2
ALD
38%
24%
39%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ALD
4 - 4
ALB
73%
17%
11%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |