Austria Wien vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
12º
4º
48
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
AUS
3 - 0
RIE
56%
23%
22%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
LPO
4 - 1
AUS
34%
24%
42%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
HAR
0 - 3
AUS
29%
24%
47%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
AUS
0 - 0
HBS
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
AUS
2 - 2
SCA
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
STR
5 - 1
MAR
59%
22%
20%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
STR
2 - 0
SCA
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
FEY
6 - 0
STR
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SKA
0 - 2
STR
32%
24%
44%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
STR
1 - 0
MID
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |