Austria Wien vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
41.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
AUS
0 - 3
LAS
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
RAP
0 - 1
AUS
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
WEI
0 - 5
AUS
1%
2%
97%
|
81 | 10 | 71 | -4 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
AUS
2 - 1
MAT
51%
24%
26%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
SKN
0 - 0
AUS
24%
24%
52%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
STR
1 - 2
MAT
63%
22%
16%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
AWM
2 - 3
STR
20%
23%
57%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
STR
1 - 1
RAP
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
WOL
1 - 1
STR
28%
26%
45%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
STR
1 - 1
ALT
51%
24%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |