Austria Wien vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
24.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
WOL
0 - 1
AUS
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
OBE
1 - 3
AUS
8%
17%
75%
|
80 | 29 | 51 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
STR
3 - 1
AUS
39%
28%
33%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
AUS
1 - 0
MAT
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
AUS
3 - 1
WIE
61%
23%
17%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
STR
0 - 2
RBS
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2012 |
WAT
0 - 1
STR
16%
22%
62%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
STR
3 - 1
AUS
39%
28%
33%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
WIN
1 - 1
STR
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
STR
0 - 3
AWM
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |